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š Rise of the Agents
the internet is evolving, keep up and stay sane
Good morning friends š
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What a week! While Iāve been typing away on my big Summer writing project for the past couple of weeks, a ton has happened in the AI world. Thankfully, Iāve been keeping up, so here are some observations on whatās up with agents, new models, and whatās next. I think weāll all be pleasantly surprised by just how much these advancements offer if embraced with security, human agency, and privacy at the front.
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Rise of the Agents
Since the launch of GPT-4 a year ago, Iāve seen developers and AI engineers talk about building agents that autonomously do tasks for you all over YouTube. As is the way these things go, they were super clunky and hardly worked at first. All the installs were super manual, and you had to sift through a sea of documentation to get them to work.
See, the thinking here is that agents mean autonomy, and autonomy leads to AGI. So, for a long time now, thereās been a focus on building agents that actually work.
Slowly but surely, though, these agents were able to do more things accurately and act as developers, program managers, or even executives to build entire applications from scratch. Following Microsoft Build this week, they are now being directly integrated into laptops like the new Copilot+ PC Surface Laptop and the new Copilot Studio.
Itās a fun time to be a dev, actually. I donāt think this has to be the end for developers. I think these are only baby steps, and thereās still much to be done.
Personally, I hate overhyping AI and its capabilities, but I paid close attention this week during Microsoft Build (aka, I stayed home and watched all the demos on YouTube). Let me tell you, this Copilot and Azure AI stuff changes a ton (for devs).
But thereās definitely something more brewing at OpenAI besides a ScarJo scandal and NDA drama. Especially with the latest model, GPT-4o, now being offered for free to all users. Iām just glad that, for a while, everyone now has free access to the best model available. Personally, Iām still mostly using Claude 3 Opus as my daily driver.
Why Does Any of This Matter?
When the developers get new toys, it usually means more new toys for the public, and while devs have been using Copilot Studio to make work faster and easier for teams for months, now these tools are generally available. This means you could start seeing more businesses tinkering with agents that finally actually work.
More devs playing means more data gathered from users, which means more powerful ways to siphon and extract from users. Yes, thatās real. Itās all just a game of who can collect the most data on you. But you already knew that.
Itās also already made life easier for help desk workers (my first ātechā job was tech support), and it seems with each passing day, another role gets upgraded.
Along with a slew of AI products shipped this week was a feature called Copilot Recall. No, not Total Recallā¦ not yet, anyway. But weāll probably get there someday.
While Recall looks like magic in the demo youāve likely seen by now, as a former engineer, itās not exactly magic at all. Hereās how you can build with Recall today. Itās essentially an interactive, searchable Internet Archive but for your laptop. It takes a snapshot of your screen every 3-5 seconds and holds it for a period of time. You can then search or scroll through your history to find and interact with whatever it is. The thing is, applications must enable it first. Thatās why, in the demo, youāll notice Discord set up in the browser rather than in the standalone app.
Not only does it take up storage space, and though Microsoft does have a hardcoded privacy and security setup, there are reasons to be concerned. Sure, maybe Microsoft isnāt collecting the data since Recall is stored locally, but what happens if you use a PC that has it turned on and doesnāt alert you? Itās giving trust issues. Also, itās only available on these very specific new Windows Copilot+ PCs because they have a new NPU chip and on-device SLM (small language model) called Phi3. So, if youāre on a Macbook, like I imagine most of you reading this are, I donāt think you have anything to worry about just yet.
But thatās just one of the things shipped this week at MS Build. Things like upgrades to Power Platform for building low-code apps and updates to Azure AI. One of the things I continue to be amazed by is the advancements in accessibility tech. Whether itās making general UI improvements or completely new products to make using tech more accessible for all, thatās the hope here.
The Internet is Evolving, and You Must Stay Sane
For the past couple of weeks in the Boys Club discord, Iāve been tossing around this idea of how the New Internet truly is evolving in front of us. Itās not a joke anymore or some great big wish. Even if we, the users, are often making a fool of ourselves (see: āscenecoins,ā memecoins, AI girlfriends).
I thought Iād let you in on my half-baked ideas and see what you think too.
I think itās time to acknowledge that the internet we know and haplessly love to despise today will look nothing like itself in five yearsā time. I, for one, am relieved to know and observe this shift. We deserve a New Internet, one which could look like a total rebirth or a reimagining of how we interact with data, which is essentially what the Internet is to all the people funding it. For the sake of those people, I donāt think theyāll get their way and continue to extract while not providing outsized value.
In the meantime, though, the internet we have now is experiencing some growing pains. All as expected with new disruptions.
Consider this: In this weekās presentation, before a talk on stage with Sam Altman, Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott said that their team has previously deployed 2 huge supercomputing systems for OpenAI with a recent third the scale of a whale when compared to the orca and shark size of GPT4 and GPT3 respectively. Hereās the talk so you can listen for yourself. He noted that āthe platform is becoming so much more capable and so much cheaper over time that everything you have in your imagination thatās too expensive to do right now is going to be cheap and robust before you can even blinkā¦ā So clearly, we have some massive exponential growth going on.
This all amounts to incremental nudges of an entire platform shiftāas in rethinking what it means to be online at all. Of course, itās a whole lot more complicated than that. But this New Internet is in the air, and as this Overton window shifts, we, the users, have the opening we need to build meaningful change.
And I donāt mean weāll all switch to being exclusively onchain in 5 years. Maybe, but at this rate, Iām still a bit skeptical. At least not until the blockchain space can actually get its act together, which doesnāt seem likely anytime soon.
I believe that as these radical shifts in interfaces and information progress, one technology must die before another slowly takes its place. Just as AOL, Netscape, Windows Phones, etc. slowly died off, so too will various bits of the Internet fall away to create new, more dynamic, interactive interfaces for wisdom gathering and social connection in their place.
This is the New Internet moment. I donāt agree with everything Sam says, but when he compares this time period to the mobile era of 2008/2009, heās not wrong.
One thing I hope to see as these shifts happen is new social contracts, new social networks, and even more personalized ways of connection that allow more creative freedom. As our social lives blur the physical and digital, weāll be afforded new opportunities for discovering new communities and, most importantly, new people along with their creative minds.
Will Your AI Agent Match My Freak
Right now, all of our circles are so tiny. Even if we feel like our spaces make an impact on culture, itās actually quite small compared to what we can do within communities of tomorrow. For example, hereās Whitney Wolfe Herd talking about recent nudges in the dating world toward personal AI dating agents on Bumble that might go on dates for you in advance to measure chemistry between potential partners.
The first dating app I ever used was OkCupid, circa 2008. If we're not careful, the dating apps of tomorrow could have even more features that keep us apart or even venture into Black Mirrorās āHang the DJā territory.
However, I have some hope that the discovery of new people and new communities and the proliferation of AI-everywhere devices will actually help us connect much more deeply than we could imagine today. I believe weāre waking up to that very dire need.
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Youāll see more of this Internet Abstraction over time that pulls you away from the time-consuming frustrations of finding a match, like Google working on doing your shopping for you rather than the friction of returning or choosing the right item.
Soon, youāll tell a device what you need, and itāll be so personalized that it delivers exactly what you want. Why bother searching when the systems you use already know what you need?
At this point, I don't trust Google to deliver what I asked for, seeing as how they recently had to remove the experimental AI Overview feature from searches, just as countless news outlets like The Verge tell users how to turn the feature off due to inaccuracies.
Because of this platform shift, it's likely that more users will shift their social media usage as apps change, die off, or we simply get collectively fed up with how weāve been slowly lobotomized over time.
The Next Battleground is the Mind
As the New Internet is born, the next space where humans will be challenged is the mind and the impending identity crisis.
Weāre already being tested by a Metacrisis: a crisis of meaning, loneliness, and purposelessness. A few months ago, I watched a talk on this topic with Ian McGilcrist and John Vervaeke, moderated by Daniel Schmachtenberger. This is one side of the mind battle, but itās even more multifaceted than this. Going beyond AI-generated misinformation and deep fakes, weāll all be faced with challenges of the mind and purpose.
As people around you continue to lose their jobs and fail to get new work or take up the tools to do better work, theyāll be faced with a new set of challenges similar to the ones we see in any of the previous Industrial Revolutions.
Every day, philosophers, spiritualists, and scientists unravel new information about consciousness and the mind that pushes the idea of human experience further to the edge. Iām sure, at some point, this will lead to concurrent realizations in the computing and robotics fields as they converge.
No matter how cheesy it sounds, it might be time to ask yourself, the passionate generalist, the polymath, a few questions. Iāve been doing this over the past few weeks while reflecting on this writing project.
What do I actually want to be experiencing?
What career do I want?
What is my ideal workday?
Can I actually let go of the fear?
Iāve said this many times before, as the world around us expands its field of view, the place to look is inward. Personally, Iāve been frustrated lately by looking for the looker in my practice. Itās for this reason that I believe discovery, awareness, and their interaction with embedded AI are the next frontiers to explore.
Hunting and Gathering š
Watch This
Insightful interview with Noema Magazine and ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt on the future of AI, dangers, and where he thinks we go next. Including just how powerful the AI super data centers will be and what kind of energy theyāll need.
You might also want to watch the film Zoe with Ewan McGregor sometime and, of course, rewatch Her
Read This
If youāre reading this newsletter, you should definitely also read The Post-Individual by Yancey Strickler
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